Based on opinions
of individual investors
of individual investors
from a www.aaii.com online survey.
data source:
https://www.aaii.com/o/sentimentsurvey
The indicator is bearish (red)
when individual investors are bullish.
data source:
https://www.aaii.com/o/sentimentsurvey
The indicator is bearish (red)
when individual investors are bullish.
The indicator is bullish (green)
when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )
when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )
For the week ending October 17, 2018:
33.9% bulls (30.6% last week) (historical average is 38.5%)
33.9% bulls (30.6% last week) (historical average is 38.5%)
35.0% bears (35.5% last week) (historical average is 30.5%)
Moderately Bullish
( was Moderately Bullish last week )
49.2% of AAII investors
with an opinion were bullish
( was 46.3% last week )
( 50% to 70% is neutral )
Moderately Bullish
( was Moderately Bullish last week )
with an opinion were bullish
( was 46.3% last week )
( 50% to 70% is neutral )
The Four-Week Average:
This is one of the seven EL page one
stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
53.5% of AAII investors
with an opinion are bullish
( was 53.7% last week )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
with an opinion are bullish
( was 53.7% last week )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
Recommended portfolio
cash position:
= 34% cash
( was 34% cash last week )
EL Back-to-Basics Portfolio
actual cash position:
= 85% cash
( was 85% cash last week )
Note:
I score this
weekly
short-term
stock market
timing indicator
to recommend from
( was 85% cash last week )
Note:
I score this
weekly
short-term
stock market
timing indicator
to recommend from
0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).
100% cash (most bearish).
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