Based on opinions of individual investors
from a www.aaii.com online survey.
The indicator is bearish (red) when individual investors are bullish.
The indicator is bullish (green) when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )
One week ending June 15, 2017:
32.3% bulls (35.4% last week) (historical average is 38.5%)
29.5% bears (29.5% last week) (historical average is 30.5%)
= Neutral (Neutral last week)
52.3% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish (54.5% last week)
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
Four-Week Average:
This is one of the seven page one EL stock market timing indicators
= Neutral (Moderately Bullish last week)
51.3% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish (48.5% last week)
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
Recomended portfolio cash position:
= 28% (21% last week)
Range is 0% cash (most bullish)
to 100% cash (most bearish)
EL Back-to-Basics Portfolio
actual cash position:
= approx. 65% cash (65% last week)
I score the indicator to recommend
from 0% to 100% cash in a stock portfolio
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