Friday, April 6, 2018

AAII Sentiment Neutral -- 32% cash recommended

Based on opinions 
of individual investors
from a www.aaii.com 
online survey.


The indicator is bearish (red) 

when individual investors are bullish. 

The indicator is bullish (green) 
when individual investors are bearish.

( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )




One  week  ending  April 5, 2018:
31.9%  bulls  (31.9% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)

36.6%  bears (35.3% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
= Moderately Bullish ( = was Moderately Bullish last week )
46.6% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish (47.5% last week)

          ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )




Four-Week  Average:
This is one of the seven page one 

EL stock market timing indicators
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
52.8% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullis(53.2% last week)

            ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 



 
Recomended portfolio 
cash position:
= 32%
( was 33% last week )



 
EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  


actual  cash  position: 

= 78% cash  
( same as last week )



Note: 

I score this indicator 
to recommend
from 0% cash (most bullish), 
to 100% cash (most bearish).

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