Thursday, April 26, 2018

AAII Sentiment now Neutral - 25% cash recommended

Based  on  opinions 
of  individual  investors
from  a  www.aaii.com 
online  survey.


The indicator is bearish (red) 

when individual investors are bullish. 

The indicator is bullish (green) 
when individual investors are bearish.

( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )






One  week  
ending  April 26, 2018:
36.9%  bulls  (37.8% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)

25.6%  bears (29.2% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
59.0% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish 
( was 56.4% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

         




Four-Week  Average:
This is one of the seven page one 

EL stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Moderately Bullish last week )
50.0% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullis
( was 47.1% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 
         



Recomended portfolio 
cash position:
= 25%
( was 18% last week )




EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  


actual  cash  position: 

= 86% cash  
( was 86% last week )





Note: 

I score this short-term indicator 
to recommend from
0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.