Based on opinions
of individual investors
of individual investors
from a www.aaii.com
online survey.
The indicator is bearish (red)
when individual investors are bullish.
online survey.
The indicator is bearish (red)
when individual investors are bullish.
The indicator is bullish (green)
when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )
when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )
One week
ending April 26, 2018:
ending April 26, 2018:
36.9% bulls (37.8% last week) (historical average is 38.5%)
25.6% bears (29.2% last week) (historical average is 30.5%)
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
59.0% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish
( was 56.4% last week ) ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
( was 56.4% last week ) ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
Four-Week Average:
This is one of the seven page one
EL stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Moderately Bullish last week )
This is one of the seven page one
EL stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Moderately Bullish last week )
50.0% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish
( was 47.1% last week ) ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( was 47.1% last week ) ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
Recomended portfolio
cash position:
= 25%
( was 18% last week )
EL Back-to-Basics Portfolio
actual cash position:
= 86% cash
( was 86% last week )
Note:
I score this short-term indicator
to recommend from
( was 86% last week )
Note:
I score this short-term indicator
to recommend from
0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).
100% cash (most bearish).
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