Thursday, May 10, 2018

AAII Sentiment Neutral -- 42% cash recommended

Based  on  opinions 
of  individual  investors
from  a  www.aaii.com 
online  survey.


The indicator is bearish (red) 

when individual investors are bullish. 

The indicator is bullish (green) 
when individual investors are bearish.

( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )






One  week  
ending  May 10, 2018:
33.5%  bulls  (28.4% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)

20.5%  bears (30.2% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
= Neutral
= ( was Moderately Bullish last week )


63.2% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish 
( was 48.5% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

         




Four-Week  Average:
This is one of the seven

EL page one stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )

56.8% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullis
( was 50.5% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 
         



Recomended portfolio 
cash position:
= 42%
( was 26% last week )




EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  


actual  cash  position: 

= 86% cash  
( was 86% cash last week )





Note: 

I score this short-term indicator 
to recommend from
0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).

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