Thursday, July 12, 2018

AAII Sentiment Neutral -- 26% cash recommended

Based  on  opinions 
of  individual  investors
from  a  www.aaii.com 
online  survey.


The indicator is bearish (red) 

when individual investors are bullish. 
The indicator is bullish (green) 
when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )





One  week  
ending  July 12, 2018:
43.1%  bulls  (27.9% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)

29.1%  bears (39.3% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
Neutral
( was Moderately Bullish last week )
59.7% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish 
( was 41.5% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

         





Four-Week  Average:
This is one of the seven

EL page one stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
50.5% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullis
( was 52.4% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 
         





Recomended portfolio 
cash position:
= 26%
( was 31% cash last week )






EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  


actual  cash  position: 

= 86% cash  
( was 86% cash last week )





Note: 

I score this short-term indicator 
to recommend from
0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).

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