Tuesday, July 31, 2018

Is the FAANG stock boom ending ?

The FAANG stocks
sometimes called
FANG + Apple
or just FANG+
consist of: 
Facebook, 
Apple, 
Amazon, 
Netflix, 
and Alphabet 
(Google). 

When companies 
are growing quickly, 
investors tend to
look backwards, 
and falsely assume 
very high rates 
of future growth, 
for already mature 
companies. 

  Here's one example:
Apple’s revenue growth rate 
has slowed to an average rate 
of less than 4% annually 
over the past three years.

As companies 
become dominant 
in mature sectors, 
their growth rates
slow a lot.

Presently, 
Apple is valued 
at 5.1% of GDP, 
Amazon at 4.8%, 
Alphabet at 4.6%, 
Facebook at 3.3%, and
Netflix at 0.8% of GDP. 

That’s a total FAANG
market capitalization 
of nearly 20% of GDP 
for only 5 stocks ! 

Historically, the norm 
for market capitalization to GDP, 
was about 60% for all stocks !!
(excluding financial companies)













In the past few weeks:

Netflix (NFLX) is down 10% 
after issuing disappointing 
subscriber growth and Q3 guidance


Facebook (FB) is down 20% 
after  delivering lower user 
and revenue numbers 
than the Street was expecting


Amazon (AMZN) is flat 
despite posting blowout Q2 EPS,
offset by a revenue miss


Google/Alphabet (GOOGL) 
only managed a modest 3% rise 
after reporting earnings & revenue 
beats that were tempered 
by rising costs and 
a record $5 billion 
EU anti-trust fine



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