AAII Sentiment Neutral -- 32% cash recommended

Based  on  opinions 
of  individual  investors

from  a  www.aaii.com  online  survey.


The indicator is bearish (red) 
when individual investors are bullish. 

The indicator is bullish (green) 
when individual investors are bearish.

( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )



For the week ending  
August 15, 2018:

36.2%  bulls  (36.4% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)


29.1%  bears (31.0% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
= Neutral
( was Moderately Bullish last week )

55.4% of AAII investors 
with an opinion are bullish 
( was 54.0.% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

         


Four-Week  Average:
This is one of the seven EL page one 
stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )

52.7% of AAII investors 
with an opinion are bullish 
( was 53.4% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 

         

Recomended portfolio 
cash position:
= 32% cash

( was 34% cash last week )

EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  

actual  cash  position: 


= 86% cash  
( was 86% cash last week )





Note: 
I score this short-term indicator 
to recommend from

0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).