AAII Sentiment Neutral -- 37% cash recommended

Based  on  opinions 
of  individual  investors

from  a  www.aaii.com 
online  survey.


The indicator is bearish (red) 
when individual investors are bullish. 

The indicator is bullish (green) 
when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )



One  week  
ending  August 1, 2018:

29.1%  bulls  (31.5% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)


32.1%  bears (26.9% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
Moderately Bullish
( was Neutral last week )

47.5% of AAII investors 
with an opinion are bullish 
( was 53.9% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

         


Four-Week  Average:
This is one of the seven
EL page one stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )

54.8% of AAII investors 
with an opinion are bullish 
( was 53.3% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 

         

Recomended portfolio 
cash position:
= 37% cash

( was 33% cash last week )

EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  

actual  cash  position: 


= 86% cash  
( was 86% cash last week )





Note: 
I score this short-term indicator 
to recommend from

0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).