Thursday, August 30, 2018

AAII Sentiment Neutral -- 45% cash recommended

Based  on  opinions 
of  individual  investors
from  a  www.aaii.com  online  survey.


The indicator is bearish (red) 

when individual investors are bullish. 

The indicator is bullish (green) 
when individual investors are bearish.

( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )






For the week ending  
August 29, 2018:
43.5%  bulls  (38.5% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)

24.4%  bears (27.1% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
64.1% of AAII investors 
with an opinion are bullish 
( was 58.7.% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )




Four-Week Average:
This is one of the seven EL page one 
stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
58.1% of AAII investors 
with an opinion are bullis
( was 53.9% last week )
        ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 





Recommended portfolio
cash position:
= 45% cash
( was 35% cash last week )






EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  


actual  cash  position: 

= 86% cash  
( was 86% cash last week )






Note: 

I score this short-term indicator 
to recommend from
0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).

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