Friday, November 27, 2020

AAII Sentiment remains Neutral -- 56% cash recommended for traders


This short term indicator had recommended 8% cash, 
or less, from March 18, 2020, until October 28, 2020

 

The Week Ending on November 25, 2020:
 = NEUTRAL
63.2% of AAII Investors bullish
(was 62,7%
=  NEUTRAL
one week earlier)


Four  Week  Moving  Average: 
= NEUTRAL
62.4%  of AAII Investors bullish
(was 59.0%
=NEUTRAL
last week)


Recommended Portfolio Cash
percentage for short term traders: 
 = 56%
(was 48% cash last week)


My own LONG-TERM
Stock Portfolio:
= 100% cash
(was 100% cash last week)
( % cash based on all
seven Economic Logic
stock timing indicators)


For the WEEK
ending 11/25/20: 
47.3% were Bullish 
   (was 44.4% in prior week)
25.3% were Neutral 
    (was 29.3%)
27.5% were Bearish 
    (was 26.4%)


AAII  Indicator Analysis:
    ( over 80% is Bearish )
( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )
  ( under 40% is Bullish )
 
 
This short term
indicator recommends
from 0% to 100% cash
in a stock portfolio,
based on an online survey
of individual investors.
 
This is a short term
contrary opinion
market timing indicator:
-- It is bullish when
AAII individual
investors are bearish,
and vice versa.
 
The four-week
moving average,
has much less
volatility than
weekly data.
 
Active traders
may prefer
the weekly data.
 
Data Source:
https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

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