Japan is one of the most
unusual places in the world.
Both the people,
and the economy.
A 9.0 magnitude earthquake.
hit Japan in 2011.
People sat quietly outside
their demolished homes
waiting for the authorities
to tell them what to do,
with no apparent fear, while
nearby nuclear reactors
were melting down !
No panic.
No looting.
There are contradictions:
Tokyo streets are clean.
Yet women are
routinely groped
on crowded subways !
Many adults love cartoons
and animated mascots.
Yet used panties are sold
in vending machines !
Consider this
true story:
-- November 14, 2017
-- Japan Railways train #5255
left Minami Nagareyama Station,
on the outskirts of Tokyo,
at 20 seconds past 9:44am
-- It was scheduled to leave
the station at 40 seconds
past 9:44am. ( meaning the train
left 20 seconds early )
-- The 20 second early
departure led to a train
company investigation !
-- The CEO issued
a formal apology,
explaining what steps
the company was taking
to ensure this would not
happen again !
In addition
to the trains
running on time,
Japan is wealthy,
but the economy
has been stagnant
for decades.
Japan’s main
stock index,
the Nikkei 225,
is now
around 21,000
-- a level it
first exceeded
in March 1987 !
Meaning the
Nikkei 225 index
has gone nowhere
for three decades !
There’s minimal
entrepreneurship
in Japan, and much
conformity.
Suicide among
young workers reached
a 30-year high in 2018.
Japan's central
government debt
burden is the highest
in the world, as a
percentage of GDP,
at more than double
their annual GDP
( GDP is the annual production
of goods and services )
Last year, it took 95% of
government tax revenues
to service the debt
and pay for their national
Social Security system.
So only 5% of tax revenues
were left for all other
government spending.
That means the government
has to keep borrowing.
The central bank "helped"
by pushing interest rates down
to NEGATIVE levels
( a negative -0.1% current yield
on the Japanese 10-year
government bond recently ).
Yet even at -0.1%,
and world record debt
as a % of GDP,
the government can
borrow more money !
Major corporations,
commercial banks,
individual investors,
and the central bank,
buy the bonds, which
are currently priced
to provide a small loss
at maturity,
and that loyalty keeps
the government
"in business".
Japan is the only nation
where grossly excessive
government borrowing hasn't
destroyed the economy
... so far.
But ...
one problem is getting worse:
Japan's population is the oldest
in the world, with the highest
percentage of people over
the age 65, and the longest
life expectancy.
More adult diapers are sold
than baby diapers !
Most nations would react
to those demographics
by encouraging immigrants
to move in -- but the Japanese
people do not want outsiders.
An investment banker I knew
worked in Japan for a few
years, and married the
Japanese translator
for the Sony CEO.
He was tall, muscular,
had (real) blond hair,
and understood the
Japanese language.
He told us that Japanese
people often made rude
comments about him,
assuming he would not
understand them,
such as calling him
a "barbarian", because
of how he looked to them.
Japan's economy,
and people,
are very unusual.
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