Thursday, June 13, 2019

Japan has unusual people, and an unusual economy !


Japan is one of the most 
unusual places in the world.

Both the people,
and the economy.

A 9.0 magnitude earthquake.
hit Japan in 2011.

People sat quietly outside 
their demolished homes 
waiting for the authorities 
to tell them what to do, 
with no apparent fear, while 
nearby nuclear reactors 
were melting down !

No panic.
No looting.



There are contradictions:

Tokyo streets are clean.

Yet women are 
routinely groped 
on crowded subways !

Many adults love cartoons 
and animated mascots.

Yet used panties are sold 
in vending machines !




Consider this 
true story:
-- November 14, 2017 

-- Japan Railways train #5255 
left Minami Nagareyama Station, 
on the outskirts of Tokyo,
at 20 seconds past 9:44am

-- It was scheduled to leave 
the station at 40 seconds 
past 9:44am. ( meaning the train 
left 20 seconds early )

-- The 20 second early 
departure led to a train 
company investigation !

-- The CEO issued 
a formal apology, 
explaining what steps 
the company was taking
to ensure this would not
happen again !




In addition 
to the trains
running on time, 
Japan is wealthy, 
but the economy 
has been stagnant 
for decades.

Japan’s main 
stock index, 
the Nikkei 225, 
is now 
around 21,000
-- a level it 
first exceeded 
in March 1987 !

Meaning the 
Nikkei 225 index 
has gone nowhere 
for three decades !

There’s minimal 
entrepreneurship
in Japan, and much
conformity.

Suicide among 
young workers reached 
a 30-year high in 2018.




Japan's central
government debt 
burden is the highest 
in the world, as a 
percentage of GDP,
at more than double 
their annual GDP
( GDP is the annual production
of goods and services )

Last year, it took 95% of 
government tax revenues 
to service the debt
and pay for their national
Social Security system. 

So only 5% of tax revenues 
were left for all other 
government spending.

That means the government 
has to keep borrowing.

The central bank "helped" 
by pushing interest rates down 
to NEGATIVE levels
( a negative -0.1% current yield 
on the Japanese 10-year 
government bond recently ).

Yet even at -0.1%,
and world record debt
as a % of GDP,
the government can 
borrow more money !

Major corporations, 
commercial banks,
individual investors,
and the central bank,
buy the bonds, which
are currently priced
to provide a small loss
at maturity,
and that loyalty keeps 
the government
"in business".

Japan is the only nation
where grossly excessive 
government borrowing hasn't 
destroyed the economy
... so far.



But ...
one problem is getting worse:

Japan's population is the oldest 
in the world, with the highest 
percentage of people over 
the age 65, and the longest 
life expectancy.

More adult diapers are sold
than baby diapers !

Most nations would react 
to those demographics
by encouraging immigrants
to move in -- but the Japanese
people do not want outsiders.

An investment banker I knew
worked in Japan for a few 
years, and married the 
Japanese translator
for the Sony CEO. 

He was tall, muscular,
had (real) blond hair, 
and understood the
Japanese language.

He told us that Japanese
people often made rude
comments about him,
assuming he would not
understand them, 
such as calling him 
a "barbarian", because 
of how he looked to them.

Japan's economy, 
and people,
are very unusual.

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