Economic Data Releases last week -- GDP, New Home Sales, Case Shiller Home Prices and Durable Goods Orders

Historical Note:
2017 Real GDP was up +2.4%, over 2016 (Trump)
2018 Real GDP was up +2.9%, over 2017 (Trump)
Obama averaged +2.2%, after the recession ended
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       9/26/19

2Q  2019  GDP

Real final sales 
-- third estimate --

Real final sales is the
GDP minus volatile
inventory changes

2Q 2019 was +2.9% annual growth rate
1Q 2019 was +2.6%
4Q 2018 was +0.6%
3Q 2018 was +0.6%

2Q 2018 was +4.7% 

1Q 2018 was +2.4%        

4Q 2017 was +4.1%

3Q 2017 was +2.2%

2Q 2017 was +2.1% 

1Q 2017 was +3.0% Trump starts here

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         9/18/19  

Housing  Starts

- August 2019         up +12.3%
- July 2019           down  -1.5% 
- June 2019          down  -2.5% 
- May 2019            down  -0.5%  
- April 2019                up +5.9% 
- March 2019              up +4.4% 
- February 2019   down -11.0%
- January 2019         up +13.0%
- December 2018   down -5.0%
- November 2018   down -0.7%

- October 2018       down -2.0%

- September 2018  down -3.4%

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        9/24/19

 Case-Shiller  Home  Price Index

          (20-city not seasonally adjusted)

- July 2019               up +0.1%  from June 2019 
- June 2019              up +0.4%
- May 2019                up +0.6%  
- April 2019               up +0.8%

- March 2019             up +0.7%

- February 2019        up +0.2% 

- January 2019     down -0.2% 

- December 2018 down -0.2%

- November 2018 down -0.1%

- October 2018      unchanged

- September 2018 unchanged

- August 2018        unchanged

 Note: Year-over-Year Home Price Gain
-             July 2019 up +2.0% over July 2018 

-            June 2019 up +2.2% over June 2018 

-             May 2019 up +2.4% over May 2018   
-            April 2019 up +2.5% over April 2018
-          March 2019 up +2.7% over March 2018
-    February  2019 up +3.0% over February 2018
-       January 2019 up +3.6% over January 2018

-   December 2018 up +4.1% over December 2017

-   November 2018 up +4.6% over November 2017

-       October 2018 up +5.0% over Oct. 2017

-  September 2018 up +5.2% over Sept. 2017

-        August 2018 up +5.5% over August 2017

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           9/27/19

Durable  Goods  Orders

- August 2019            up +0.2%
- July 2019                 up +2.0%
- June 2019                up +1.8%
- May 2019             down -2.3%
- April 2019            down -2.8%
- March 2019              up +1.7%
- February  2019    down -2.6%
- January 2019           up +0.5%
- December 2018        up +1.1%
- November 2018       up +0.6%
- October 2018      down -4.4%

- September 2018      up +1.5%

Durable Goods excluding 

volatile transportation orders:
         Up +0.5% in August 2019
     Down -0.5% in July 2019
         Up +0.7% in June 2019
         Up +0.4% in May 2019
     Down -0.2% in April 2019
     Down -0.5% in March 2019
     Down -0.3% in February 2019
 Up only +0.1% in January 2019

         Up +0.2% in December 2018
     Down -0.6% in November 2018
         Up +0.7% in October 2018

    Down -0.4% in September 2018 

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Full list of monthly 
economic data releases
is always here:

www.ELblog2019.Blogspot.com