Thursday, September 19, 2019

Federal Reserve Policy indicator now Moderately Bullish

The Federal Reserve Policy indicator 
from page one, was Neutral 
in the September - October
2019 EL newsletter. 

It is Moderately Bullish today.




DETAILS:
The indicator consists of two trends:

(1) The Fed Funds interest rate trend, and

(2) The trend of Fed purchases 
(or sales) of Treasury bonds.



(1) 
is now Bullish:
The first 1/4 point 
fed funds rate
cut did not
mean much.

The second 1/4 point 
Fed Funds rate cut 
in a row, yesterday,
confirms a new trend, 
which is bullish.


(2) 
is now Moderately Bullish:
The Fed 
has reversed 
the trend
from bond sales, 
to bond purchases,
in the past few weeks,
which is moderately bullish.
(If this purchase trend continues
for over a month, that would be 
bullish)



(1) "bullish" 
+ (2) "moderately bullish",
= Moderately Bullish

for the Federal Reserve Policy indicator.

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