The Federal Reserve Policy indicator
from page one, was Neutral
in the September - October
2019 EL newsletter.
It is Moderately Bullish today.
DETAILS:
The indicator consists of two trends:
(1) The Fed Funds interest rate trend, and
(2) The trend of Fed purchases
(or sales) of Treasury bonds.
(1)
is now Bullish:
The first 1/4 point
fed funds rate
cut did not
mean much.
The second 1/4 point
Fed Funds rate cut
in a row, yesterday,
confirms a new trend,
which is bullish.
(2)
is now Moderately Bullish:
The Fed
has reversed
the trend
from bond sales,
to bond purchases,
in the past few weeks,
which is moderately bullish.
(If this purchase trend continues
for over a month, that would be
bullish)
(1) "bullish"
+ (2) "moderately bullish",
= Moderately Bullish
for the Federal Reserve Policy indicator.
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