Note:
During healthy
economic growth,
at least three-quarters
of data releases
are good news,
(in black ink),
so bad news
(in red ink)
will be rare:
.
Historical Note:
2017 Real GDP was up +2.4%, over 2016 (Trump)
2018 Real GDP was up +2.9%, over 2017 (Trump)
Obama averaged +2.2%, after the recession ended
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
1/3/20
Construction Spending
- November 2019 up +0.6%
- October 2019 up only +0.1%
- September 2019 up +0.7%
- August 2019 up +1.1%
- July 2019 up +0.5%
- July 2019 up +0.5%
- June 2019 down -0.9%
- May 2019 down -0.7%
- April 2019 up +0.6%
- March 2019 up +0.8%
- February 2019 up +0.5%
- January 2019 up +1.4%
- December 2018 down -0.5%
.
.
.
Historical Note:
2017 Real GDP was up +2.4%, over 2016 (Trump)
2018 Real GDP was up +2.9%, over 2017 (Trump)
Obama averaged +2.2%, after the recession ended
.
1/7/20
Factory Orders
- November 2019 down -0.7%
- October 2019 up +0.2%
- September 2019 down -0.8%
- August 2019 down -0.1%
- July 2019 up +1.4%
- June 2019 up +0.5%
- May 2019 down -1.3%
- April 2019 down -1.2%
- March 2019 up +1.3%
- February 2019 down -1.0%
- January 2019 up only +0.1%
- November 2019 down -0.7%
- October 2019 up +0.2%
- September 2019 down -0.8%
- August 2019 down -0.1%
- July 2019 up +1.4%
- June 2019 up +0.5%
- May 2019 down -1.3%
- April 2019 down -1.2%
- March 2019 up +1.3%
- February 2019 down -1.0%
- January 2019 up only +0.1%
.
.
.
.
.
Construction Spending
- November 2019 up +0.6%
- October 2019 up only +0.1%
- September 2019 up +0.7%
- August 2019 up +1.1%
- July 2019 up +0.5%
- July 2019 up +0.5%
- June 2019 down -0.9%
- May 2019 down -0.7%
- April 2019 up +0.6%
- March 2019 up +0.8%
- February 2019 up +0.5%
- January 2019 up +1.4%
- December 2018 down -0.5%
.
.
.
1/10/20
December
Household
Household
Employment
Survey
Survey
Note:
50% more volatile,
from month to month,
than the headline
Payroll Survey
-- so I recommend averaging
three months of data:
three months of data:
Employment
- Employment up +267,000 in December 2019 (63.2%)
( 63.2% is the labor force participation rate )
- Employment up +267,000 in December 2019 (63.2%)
( 63.2% is the labor force participation rate )
- Employment up +83,000 in November 2019 (63.2%)
- Employment up +241,000 in October 2019 (63.3%)
- Employment up +393,000 in September 2019 (63.2%)
- Employment up +590,000 in August 2019 (63.2%)
- Employment up +241,000 in October 2019 (63.3%)
- Employment up +393,000 in September 2019 (63.2%)
- Employment up +590,000 in August 2019 (63.2%)
- Employment up +283,000 in July 2019 (63.0%)
- Employment up +247,000 in June2019 (62.9%)
- Employment up +113,000 in May 2019 (62.8%)
- Employment down -103,000 in April 2019 (62.8%)
- Employment down -201,000 in March 2019 (63.0%)
- Employment up +255,000 in February 2019 (63.2%)
- Employment down -251,000 in January 2019 (63.2%)
- Employment up +113,000 in May 2019 (62.8%)
- Employment down -103,000 in April 2019 (62.8%)
- Employment down -201,000 in March 2019 (63.0%)
- Employment up +255,000 in February 2019 (63.2%)
- Employment down -251,000 in January 2019 (63.2%)
Unemployment
- Unemployment down -58,000 in December 2019
- Unemployment down -44,000 in November 2019
- Unemployment up +86,000 in October 2019
- Unemployment down -58,000 in December 2019
- Unemployment down -44,000 in November 2019
- Unemployment up +86,000 in October 2019
- Unemployment down -275,000 in September 2019
- Unemployment down -19,000 in August 2019
- Unemployment down -19,000 in August 2019
- Unemployment up +88,000 in July 2019
- Unemployment up +87,000 in June 2019
- Unemployment up +64,000 in May 2019
- Unemployment down -24,000 in March 2019
- Unemployment down -300,000 in February 2019
- Unemployment up +241,000 in January 2019
Note:
All monthly economic data releases are here:
www.ELblog2019.Blogspot.com
- Unemployment up +64,000 in May 2019
- Unemployment down -389,000 in April 2019
- Unemployment down -300,000 in February 2019
- Unemployment up +241,000 in January 2019
Note:
All monthly economic data releases are here:
www.ELblog2019.Blogspot.com
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