We're in the longest
economic expansion
since World War II.
Soaring corporate
debt is a problem.
Especially new debt
spent on open-market
stock repurchases
— aka “stock buybacks” —
since the financial crisis
a decade ago.
In 2018,
S&P 500 Index
companies did
$806 billion
in buybacks,
about $200 billion
more than the
previous record
set in 2007.
$370 billion
of repurchases
in the first half
of 2019 is close to
the 2018 rate.
The percentage
of buybacks
funded by
corporate
bonds
reached
as high as 30%
in both 2016
and 2017.
Buybacks are not
corporate investments
in productive capabilities,
that may eventually yield
product revenues and
corporate profits.
The 465 companies
in the S&P 500 Index
in January 2019
that were publicly
listed between 2009
and 2018 spent,
over that decade,
$4.3 trillion
on buybacks,
equal to 52%
of net income,
and another
$3.3 trillion
on dividends,
an additional
39% of net income.
In 2018, buybacks
by S&P 500 companies
reached an astounding
68% of net income, with
dividends absorbing
another 41%.
Why have
U.S. companies
done these
massive buybacks?
Most executive
compensation
comes from
stock options
and
stock awards --
so stock
repurchases
can boost
their companies’
stock prices !
Buybacks have dominated
distributions to shareholders
since 1997, especially when
the stock market is booming.
Strangely,
companies
have repurchased
stock at high prices
in a competition
to boost their
share prices
even more.
In general, the percentage
of buybacks that have been
funded by borrowed money
has been far higher in
stock-market booms,
than in busts.
Corporate tax breaks
contained in the Tax Cuts
and Jobs Act of 2017
provided the corporate
cash for the vastly
increased level
of buybacks in 2018.
In 2018, compared
with 2017, corporate
tax revenues
declined to $205 billion
from $297 billion,
a decline of $92 billion.
So U.S.-based corporations
paying less income taxes,
had "an extra $92 billion"
more for buybacks in 2018,
without taking on any debt.
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