What just happened ?
Other than some
Democrats getting
really excited !
The annual
benchmark
revisions to the
establishment
( aka "payroll" )
survey
(plus the
annual
introduction
of new population
controls for the
household
employment
The Bureau of
Labor Statistics
had a large
downward
adjustment
of -501,000
to the level of
March 2019
employment.
This implies
a -42,000
per month
slower pace
of job growth,
on average,
from April 2018
to March 2019
( +168,000 / month
vs.
+210,000 / month )
President Trump's
State of the Union
address highlighted
7 million net jobs
created since
he took office.
Actual data,
for January 2020
to January 2017,
confirms his
claim:
Payroll Survey:
+6,559,000
Household Survey:
+ 6,585,000
These are
excellent
excellent
numbers
for an
economic
economic
recovery
that was
already
that was
already
7.5 years old
when Trump
took office.
But the overall
rebound from
the last Recession
was the weakest
( Real GDP growth )
since GDP data were
first compiled in 1929.
This is most
easily seen
in the labor force
participation rate,
that never returned
to the pre-Great
Recession level.
( aka: The December
2007 Recession )
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