The February U.S.
payroll report was
obscured
by coronavirus
bad news.
February private
sector jobs
rose 228,000,
and prior months
were revised
strongly upwards.
That's normally
very good news.
But it is likely that
many new hires
in February 2020
were based on
business results
pre-coronavirus.
The primary
government
reaction to
coronavirus is
shutting down
commerce.
So, how many people
hired in February
ended up not needed
in February ?
When a virus leads to
shutting down commerce
and production, it causes
a temporary, local
recession.
Slowing down
the spread
of the virus,
by shutting down
commerce and
production, is anti-
economic growth
until the shut-downs
end.
Could be
for one month,
or a few months.
Ordinary strains
of the flu kill
far more people
every year, yet
stock investors
have never cared.
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