Sunday, June 28, 2020

US Shale Oil Industry Turning Wells Back On -- Shooting Themselves in the Foot

Many of the world’s
top oil producers 
are still voluntarily 
reducing their output 
to help boost oil prices.

American shale 
oil producers, 
as an industry, 
have never 
made a profit.

In 2020, many of those 
shale drilling companies 
turned off wells 
to reduce output, 
after U.S. oil prices fell.

Millions pf people 
world-wide had 
stopped driving 
and flying due to 
the coronavirus, 
causing a steep 
drop in global 
oil demand.

Now that 
some US states 
and foreign nations 
are reopening, 
oil prices bounced 
back to $40 per barrel .

The desperate shale 
oil producers have 
started to turn 
some of their wells 
back on, even as 
they continue 
to delay most 
new drilling.

Energy has been 
the second-biggest 
contributor to 
this year’s 
bankruptcy 
surge.

Chesapeake is 
preparing for a filing 
while California 
Resources got 
an extension 
until June 30 
to make interest 
payments originally 
due May 29. 

Seadrill  is also 
considering 
bankruptcy.

A Deloitte analysis
 has found that 
almost a third of 
U.S. shale producers 
are technically 
insolvent 
with crude at 
$35 a barrel. 

WTI has been trading 
slightly higher than $35, 
but 15 years of debt-fueled 
production growth 
is catching up with 
many shale producers, 

The spring 2020
 "redetermination season" 
by bankers resulted in 
most high-yield borrowers 
seeing their collateral value
 of oil and gas reserves 
cut by an average of 23%. 

That means energy 
companies have
less access to loans.

The following table 
from Bloomberg 
shows the biggest 
bond issuers who have 
yet to file for bankruptcy, 
and whose bonds 
are trading at 
distressed levels. 
(Note: American Airlines
 is the most likely to survive),

Many are energy companies.









The increased  U.S.
shale oil volumes 
will be far below 
peak levels before 
the pandemic.

In those good old days, 
the U.S. was pumping 
more than 13 million 
barrels a day of crude oil, 
from shale and 
conventional sources
combined -- the most of 
any country in the world. 

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