Many of the world’s
top oil producers
are still voluntarily
reducing their output
to help boost oil prices.
American shale
oil producers,
as an industry,
have never
made a profit.
In 2020, many of those
shale drilling companies
turned off wells
to reduce output,
after U.S. oil prices fell.
Millions pf people
world-wide had
stopped driving
and flying due to
the coronavirus,
causing a steep
drop in global
oil demand.
Now that
some US states
and foreign nations
are reopening,
oil prices bounced
back to $40 per barrel .
The desperate shale
oil producers have
started to turn
some of their wells
back on, even as
they continue
to delay most
new drilling.
Energy has been
the second-biggest
contributor to
this year’s
bankruptcy
surge.
Chesapeake is
preparing for a filing
while California
Resources got
an extension
until June 30
to make interest
payments originally
due May 29.
Seadrill is also
considering
bankruptcy.
A Deloitte analysis
has found that
almost a third of
U.S. shale producers
are technically
insolvent
with crude at
$35 a barrel.
WTI has been trading
slightly higher than $35,
but 15 years of debt-fueled
production growth
is catching up with
many shale producers,
The spring 2020
"redetermination season"
by bankers resulted in
most high-yield borrowers
seeing their collateral value
of oil and gas reserves
cut by an average of 23%.
That means energy
companies have
less access to loans.
The following table
from Bloomberg
shows the biggest
bond issuers who have
yet to file for bankruptcy,
and whose bonds
are trading at
distressed levels.
(Note: American Airlines
is the most likely to survive),
Many are energy companies.
The increased U.S.
shale oil volumes
will be far below
peak levels before
the pandemic.
In those good old days,
the U.S. was pumping
more than 13 million
barrels a day of crude oil,
from shale and
conventional sources
combined -- the most of
any country in the world.
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