Sunday, September 20, 2020

AAII Sentiment remains Moderately Bullish -- 3% cash recommended for traders

This short term indicator
has recommended
8% cash, or less,
since March 18, 2020:



The Week Ending on September 16:
= MODERATELY BULLISH
44.2% of AAII Investors bullish
(was 32.7%
=  BULLISH
one week earlier)



Four  Week  Moving  Average:
= MODERATELY  BULLISH
41.0% of AAII Investors bullish
(was 40.4%
= MODERATELY BULLISH
last week)



Recommended
Portfolio Cash
percentage for
short term
stock traders:
3%
(was 1% cash
last week)




My own LONG-TERM
Stock Portfolio:
= 100% cash
(was 100% cash last week)
( % cash based on all
seven Economic Logic
stock timing indicators)




For the WEEK
ending 9/16/20:
32.0% were Bullish 
   (was 23.7% in prior week)

27.6% were Neutral 
    (was 27.8%)
 
40.4% were Bearish 
    (was 48.5%)




AAII  Indicator Analysis:
    ( over 80% is Bearish )
( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )
  ( under 40% is Bullish )



This short term
indicator recommends
from 0% to 100% cash
in a stock portfolio,
based on an online survey
of individual investors.

This is a short term
contrary opinion
market timing indicator:
-- It is bullish when
AAII individual
investors are bearish,
and vice versa.

The four-week
moving average,
has much less
volatility than
weekly data.

Active traders
may prefer
the weekly data.

Data Source:

https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

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