This short term indicator
has recommended
8% cash, or less,
since March 18, 2020:
The Week Ending on September 16:
= MODERATELY BULLISH
44.2% of AAII Investors bullish
(was 32.7%
= BULLISH
one week earlier)
Four Week Moving Average:
= MODERATELY BULLISH
41.0% of AAII Investors bullish
(was 40.4%
= MODERATELY BULLISH
last week)
Recommended
Portfolio Cash
percentage for
short term
stock traders:
3%
(was 1% cash
last week)
My own LONG-TERM
Stock Portfolio:
= 100% cash
(was 100% cash last week)
( % cash based on all
seven Economic Logic
stock timing indicators)
For the WEEK
ending 9/16/20:
32.0% were Bullish
(was 23.7% in prior week)
27.6% were Neutral
(was 27.8%)
40.4% were Bearish
(was 48.5%)
AAII Indicator Analysis:
( over 80% is Bearish )
( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )
( under 40% is Bullish )
This short term
indicator recommends
from 0% to 100% cash
in a stock portfolio,
based on an online survey
of individual investors.
This is a short term
contrary opinion
market timing indicator:
-- It is bullish when
AAII individual
investors are bearish,
and vice versa.
The four-week
moving average,
has much less
volatility than
weekly data.
Active traders
may prefer
the weekly data.
Data Source:
https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey
Sunday, September 20, 2020
AAII Sentiment remains Moderately Bullish -- 3% cash recommended for traders
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