For the week ending
March 12, 2021:
S&P500 jumped 2.6% (up 5.0% y-t-d)
Dow Industrials surged 4.1% (up 7.1%)
Utilities rose 4.5% (down 1.5%)
Transports gained 3.9% (up 13.2%)
S&P 400 Midcaps jumped 5.3% (up 14.7%)
Small cap Russell 2000 surged 7.3% (up 19.1%)
Nasdaq100 rallied 2.1% (up 0.4%)
Semiconductors recovered 1.5% (up 6.1%)
Biotechs increased 0.2% (down 3.5%).
With bullion rising $26,
the HUI gold stock index
rallied 3.5% (down 9.5%)
U.K.'s FTSE advanced 2.0% (up 4.7% y-t-d).
Japan's Nikkei jumped 3.0% (up 8.3% y-t-d).
France's CAC40 surged 4.6% (up 8.9%).
German DAX rose 4.2% (up 5.7%).
Spain's IBEX 35 gained 4.3% (up 7.1%).
Italy's FTSE MIB surged 5.0% (up 8.5%)
Brazil's Bovespa ideclined 1.0% (down 4.1%)
Mexico's Bolsa jumped 3.1% (up 8.4%).
South Korea's Kospi increased 0.9% (up 6.3%).
India's Sensex added 0.8% (up 6.4%).
China's Shanghai fell 1.4% (down 0.6%).
Russia's MICEX surged 3.7% (up 7.6%)
Ten-year US Treasury bond yields
jumped six bps to 1.63%
(up 71bps year over year).
Over the past year,
Fed Credit expanded 78.4%.
Freddie Mac 30-year fixed mortgage rates
rose three bps to a
seven-month high 3.05%
(down 31bps y-o-y).
Fifteen-year rates
gained four bps to 2.38%
(down 39bps).
Five-year hybrid ARM rates
increased four bps to 2.77%
(down 24bps).
Jumbo mortgage
30-year fixed rates
up three bps to 3.23%
(down 74bps).
Commodities Watch:
Bloomberg Commodities Index
was little changed (up 10.1% y-t-d).
Spot Gold rallied 1.6% to $1,727 (down 9.0%).
Silver recovered 2.7% to $25.919 (down 1.8%).
WTI crude slipped 48 cents to $65.61 (up 35%).
Gasoline rose another 4.1% (up 53%)
Natural Gas dropped 3.7% (up 2%).
Copper gained 1.6% (up 18%).
Wheat dropped 2.2% (unchanged).
Corn fell 1.2% (up 11%).
Bitcoin gained $7,913,
or 16%, this week to $56,966 (up 96%).
is our quarterly glimpse at
Credit and financial
Total Non-Financial Debt (NFD)
ended 2020 at $61.167 TN,
or a record 292% of GDP,
having increased $27.8 TN,
'or 83%, since the end of 2007.
NFD ended 2019 at 254% of GDP,
up from 230% to end 2007;
189% to end the nineties;
186% at the end of the eighties;
and 140% to conclude the seventies.
The Credit Bubble continues to be
fueled by a mind-boggling expansion
of government debt.
(for the year) Outstanding
Treasury Securities surged
an unprecedented $4.582 TN,
or 24%, to a record $23.601 TN.
... Treasuries ended 2020
at a record 113% of GDP,
up from 42% to end 2007.
... Total Debt Securities
... endied the year 2020
at a record 248% of GDP
(up from 204% to end 2007).
Total Equities
... ended 2020 at a
record 308% of GDP.
... previous cycle peaks
were 187% at Q3 2007 and
210% during Q1 2000.
Total (Debt & Equities) Securities ...
ended 2020 at a record 566% of GDP.
This was up greatly
from previous cycle peaks
387% during Q3 2007 and
368% back in Q1 2000.
For additional perspective,
Total Securities-to-GDP
ended the eighties at 194%
and the seventies at 148%.
Real Estate as a percentage of GDP
jumped to 171%, up from trough
2011’s 129% to the highest reading
since 2007’s 178%.
The Fed’s Balance Sheet has now inflated
$6.648 TN, or 700%, since the end of 2007,
rising from 7% of GDP to 36%.
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