AAII Sentiment remains Neutral, but 71% cash is recommended for stock traders

 Data Source:

https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey/sent_results

 

This is a short term

contrary opinion

market timing indicator:

-- It is bullish

when AAII individual

investors are bearish,

and vice versa.

 

 

This indicator 

had recommended  

between 0% and 8% cash,

from March 18, 2020, 

until October 28, 2020

The Week Ending on March 30, 2021:

 = NEUTRAL

66.4% of AAII Investors bullish

(was 71.2.%

=  MODERATELY BEARISH

last week)

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 

= NEUTRAL

68.2% of AAII Investors bullish

was 67.0%

= NEUTRAL last week)

Recommended Portfolio Cash

percentage for short term traders: 

 = 71%

(was 68% cash last week)

For the WEEK

ending 3/30/21: 

45.8% were Bullish 
   (was 50.9% last week)

31.0% were Neutral 
    (was 28.5%)

23.2% were Bearish 

    (was 20.6%)

AAII  Indicator Analysis:

    ( over 80% is Bearish )

( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )

( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )

  ( under 40% is Bullish )

 

This short term

indicator recommends

from 0% to 100% cash

in a stock portfolio,

based on an online survey

of individual investors.

 

The four-week

moving average,

has much less

volatility than

weekly data.

 

Active traders

may prefer

the weekly data.