STOCK MARKET LEVERAGE:
Stock margin debt is at the highest level in history, relative to GDP
(see chart below)
STOCK VALUATIONS:
The most extreme stock valuations in stock market history
(see charts below).
S&P 500 is currently "over bought" relative to the 200 day moving average.
SPECULATION IN CREDIT MARKETS:
CCC-rated junk bond yields fell briefly to the lowest level in history last week.
The expected return of the S&P 500 relative to Treasury bonds is at levels previously seen only at the 1929 and 2000 market peaks.
RISK OF A STOCK MARKET CORRECTION:
Very High
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