Friday, May 21, 2021

AAII Sentiment remains Neutral = 63% cash rcommended for traders

  Data Source:
 
This is a short term
contrary opinion
market timing indicator:
-- It is bullish
when AAII individual
investors are bearish,
and vice versa.

 
This indicator recommended  
between 0% and 8% cash,
from March 18, 2020, 
until October 28, 2020
 
The Week Ending on May 19, 2021:
 = NEUTRAL
58.5% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 57.5% bullish
= NEUTRAL last week)

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 
= NEUTRAL
61.3% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 64.6%
= NEUTRAL last week)
 
Recommended Portfolio Cash
percentage for short term traders: 
 = 53%
(was 62% cash last week)
 
 
For the WEEK
ending 5/19/21: 
37.0% were Bullish 
   (was 36.5% last week)
36.7% were Neutral 
    (was 36.5%)
26.3% were Bearish 
    (was 27.0%)
 
 
AAII  Indicator Analysis:
    ( over 80% is Bearish )
( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )
  ( under 40% is Bullish )
 
This short term
indicator recommends
from 0% to 100% cash
in a stock portfolio,
based on an online survey
of individual investors.
 
The four-week
moving average,
has much less
volatility than
weekly data.
 
Active traders
may prefer
the weekly data.

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