AAII Sentiment declined to Neutral (Moderately Bullish last week), with 35% cash now recommended for traders

 Data Source:

 https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey/sent_results

 

This is a short term

contrary opinion

market timing indicator:

-- It is bullish when AAII individual

investors are bearish, and vice versa.

 

Week Ending on October 27, 2021: 

= NEUTRAL

57.5% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 62.8% bullish = NEUTRAL last week)

 

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 

= NEUTRAL

53.9% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 49.7% bullish = MODERATELY BULLISH last week)

 

 

Recommended Portfolio Cash

percentage for short term traders: 

 = 35%

(was 24% cash last week)

 

 

Data for the Week

ending 10/27/21: 

39.8% were Bullish 
   (was 49.6% last week)

30.7% were Neutral 
    (was 25.4%)

29.4% were Bearish 

    (was 27.8%)

 

 

AAII  Indicator Analysis:

    ( over 80% is Bearish )

( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )

( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )

  ( under 40% is Bullish )

 

This short term

indicator recommends

from 0% to 100% cash

in a stock portfolio,

based on bullish and

bearish sentiment,

from an online survey

of individual investors.

 

The four-week

moving average,

has much less

volatility than

weekly data.

 

Active traders

may prefer

the weekly data.