Thursday, October 7, 2021

AAII Sentiment remains Moderately Bullish -- only 8% cash recommended for traders

 Data Source:
 
This is a short term
contrary opinion
market timing indicator:
-- It is bullish when AAII individual
investors are bearish, and vice versa.

 
This indicator had recommended  
very little cash (between 0% and 8%),
from March 18, 2020 to October 28, 2020
 
 
Week Ending on October 6, 2021: 
= MODERATELY  BULLISH
40.9% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 40.8% bullish = MODERATELY BULLISH last week)

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 
= MODERATELY  BULLISH
40.3% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 44.8% bullish = MODERATELY BULLISH last week)
 
Recommended Portfolio Cash
percentage for short term traders: 
 = 8%
(was 12% cash last week)
 
 
Data for the Week
ending 10/6/21: 
25.5% were Bullish 
   (was 28.1% last week)
37.7% were Neutral 
    (was 31.1%)
36.8% were Bearish 
    (was 40.7%)
 
 
AAII  Indicator Analysis:
    ( over 80% is Bearish )
( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )
  ( under 40% is Bullish )
 
This short term
indicator recommends
from 0% to 100% cash
in a stock portfolio,
based on bullish and
bearish sentiment,
from an online survey
of individual investors.
 
The four-week
moving average,
has much less
volatility than
weekly data.
 
Active traders
may prefer
the weekly data.

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