AAII Sentiment remains Moderately Bullish -- only 10% cash recommended for traders

 Data Source:

 https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey/sent_results

 

This contrary opinion short term market timing indicator is bullish when AAII individual investors are bearish, and vice versa, recommending from 0% to 100% cash in a common stock portfolio, based on market sentiment of an anonymous online poll of members of the American Association of Individual Investors. The four-week moving average has much less volatility than weekly data, but active stock traders may prefer the weekly data.

 

Week Ending on December 15, 2021: 

= BULLISH

39.1% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 49.3% bullish = MODERATELY BULLISH last week)

 

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 

= MODERATELY  BULLISH

43.9% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 49.2% bullish = MODERATELY BULLISH last week)

 

 

Recommended Portfolio Cash

percentage for short term traders: 

 = 10%

(was 23% cash last week)

 

 

Data for the week ending 12/15/21: 

25.2% were Bullish 
   (was 29.7% last week)

35.4% were Neutral 
    (was 39.8%)

39.3% were Bearish 

    (was 30.5%)

 

 

AAII  Indicator  Analysis:

    ( over 80% is Bearish )

( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )

( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )

  ( under 40% is Bullish )