Data Source:
This contrary opinion short term market timing indicator is bullish when AAII individual investors are bearish, and vice versa, recommending from 0% to 100% cash in a common stock portfolio, based on market sentiment of an anonymous online poll of members of the American Association of Individual Investors. The four-week moving average has much less volatility than weekly data, but active stock traders may prefer the weekly data.
Week Ending on December 22, 2021:
= MODERATELY BULLISH
46.6% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 39.1% bullish = BULLISH last week)
Four Week Moving Average:
= MODERATELY BULLISH
43.4% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 43.9% bullish = MODERATELY BULLISH last week)
Recommended Portfolio Cash
percentage for short term traders:
= 9%
(was 10% cash last week)
Data for the week ending 12/22/21:
29.6% were Bullish
(was 25.2% last week)
(was 25.2% last week)
36.6% were Neutral
(was 35.4%)
(was 35.4%)
33.9% were Bearish
(was 39.3%)
AAII Indicator Analysis:
( over 80% is Bearish )
( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )
( under 40% is Bullish )
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