AAII Sentiment remains Moderately Bullish, 20% cash recommended for traders, up from 9% last week

 Data Source:

 https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey/sent_results

 

This contrary opinion short term market timing indicator is bullish when AAII individual investors are bearish, and vice versa, recommending from 0% to 100% cash in a common stock portfolio. Based on market sentiment of an anonymous online poll of members of the American Association of Individual Investors. The four-week moving average has much less volatility than weekly data, 

but active stock traders may prefer the weekly data.

 

Week Ending on December 29, 2021: 

= NEUTRAL

56.1% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 46.6% bullish = MODERATELY  BULLISH last week)

 

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 

= MODERATELY  BULLISH

47.8% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 43.4% bullish = MODERATELY  BULLISH last week)

 

 

Recommended Portfolio Cash

percentage for short term traders: 

 = 20%

(was 9% cash last week)

 

 

Data for the week ending 12/29/21: 

37.7% were Bullish 
   (was 29.6% last week)

31.8% were Neutral 
    (was 36.6%)

30.5% were Bearish 

    (was 33.9%)

 

 

AAII  Indicator  Analysis:

    ( over 80% is Bearish )

( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )

( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )

  ( under 40% is Bullish )