Data Source:
This contrary opinion short term market timing indicator is bullish when AAII individual investors are bearish, and vice versa ... recommending from 0% to 100% cash in a common stock portfolio ... based on market sentiment of an anonymous online poll of American Association of Individual investors. The four-week moving average, has much less volatility than weekly data, but active stock traders may prefer the weekly data.
Week Ending on December 1, 2021:
= BULLISH
38.6% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 48.5% bullish = MODERATELY BULLISH last week)
Four Week Moving Average:
= NEUTRAL
53.5% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 59.3% bullish = NEUTRAL last week)
Recommended Portfolio Cash
percentage for short term traders:
= 34%
(was 48% cash last week)
Data for the week ending 12/1/21:
26.7% were Bullish
(was 33.8% last week)
(was 33.8% last week)
31.0% were Neutral
(was 30.5%)
(was 30.5%)
42.4.% were Bearish
(was 35.7%)
AAII Indicator Analysis:
( over 80% is Bearish )
( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )
( under 40% is Bullish )
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