Thursday, January 6, 2022

AAII Sentiment remains Moderately Bullish, 20% cash recommended for traders, same as last week

 Data Source:
 
This contrary opinion short term market timing indicator is bullish when AAII individual investors are bearish, and vice versa, recommending from 0% to 100% cash in a common stock portfolio. 
Based on market sentiment of an anonymous online poll of members of the American Association of Individual Investors. The four-week moving average has much less volatility than weekly data, but active stock traders may prefer the weekly data.
 
Week Ending on January 5, 2022: 
= MODERATELY  BULLISH
49.6% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 56.1% bullish = NEUTRAL last week)
 

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 
= MODERATELY  BULLISH
47.9% of AAII Investors were bullish
(was 47.8% bullish = MODERATELY  BULLISH last week)
 
 
Recommended Portfolio Cash
percentage for short term traders: 
 = 20%
(was 20% cash last week)
 
 
Data for the week ending 1/5/22: 
32.8% were Bullish 
   (was 37.7% last week)
33.9% were Neutral 
    (was 31.8%)
33.3% were Bearish 
    (was 30.5%)
 
 
AAII  Indicator  Analysis:
    ( over 80% is Bearish )
( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )
( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )
  ( under 40% is Bullish )

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