AAII Sentiment remains Moderately Bullish, 20% cash recommended for traders, same as last week

 Data Source:

 https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey/sent_results

 

This is a contrary opinion 

short term market timing indicator 

It is bullish when AAII individual investors are bearish, and vice versa, recommending from 0% to 100% cash in a common stock portfolio. 

Based on market sentiment reflected in an anonymous online poll of members of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII). 

 The four-week moving average has much less volatility than weekly data, but active stock traders may prefer the weekly data.

 

Week Ending on January 12, 2022: 

= BULLISH

39.4% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 49.6% bullish = MODERATELY BULLISH last week)

 

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 

= MODERATELY  BULLISH

47.9% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 47.9% bullish = MODERATELY  BULLISH last week)

 

 

Recommended Portfolio Cash

percentage for short term traders: 

 = 20%

(was 20% cash last week)

 

 

Data for the week ending 1/12/22: 

24.9% were Bullish 
   (was 32.8% last week)

36,8% were Neutral 
    (was 33.9%)

38.3% were Bearish 

    (was 33.3%)

 

 

AAII  Indicator  Analysis:

    ( over 80% is Bearish )

( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )

( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )

  ( under 40% is Bullish )