AAII Sentiment remains Moderately Bullish -- Only 10% cash recommended for traders

 Data Source:

 https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey/sent_results

 

This is a contrary opinion 

short term market timing indicator 

It is bullish when AAII individual investors are bearish, and vice versa, recommending from 0% to 100% cash in a common stock portfolio. 

Based on market sentiment reflected in an anonymous online poll of members of the American Association of Individual Inve

stors (AAII). 

 The four-week moving average has much less volatility

 than weekly data, but active stock traders 

may prefer the weekly data.

 

Week Ending on January 19, 2022: 

= BULLISH

31.0% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 39.4% bullish = BULLISH last week)

 

Four  Week  Moving  Average: 

= MODERATELY  BULLISH

44.0% of AAII Investors were bullish

(was 47.9% bullish = MODERATELY  BULLISH last week)

 

 

Recommended Portfolio Cash

percentage for short term traders: 

 = 10%

(was 20% cash last week)

 

 

Data for the week ending 1/19/22: 

21.0% were Bullish 
   (was 24.9% last week)

32.3% were Neutral 
    (was 36.8%)

46.7% were Bearish 

    (was 38.3%)

 

 

AAII  Indicator  Analysis:

    ( over 80% is Bearish )

( 71% to 80% is Moderately Bearish )

( 50% to 70% is Neutral )

( 40% to 49% is Moderately Bullish )

  ( under 40% is Bullish )