SOURCE: Credit Bubble Bulletin : Weekly Commentary: Inflation Complacency
For the Week ending January 20, 2023:
US STOCKS:
The S&P500 declined 0.7% (up 3.5% y-t-d)
Dow Industrial dropped 2.7% (up 0.7%).
Utilities fell 3.0% (down 2.0%)
Banks slipped 0.5% (up 6.2%)
Broker/Dealers declined 0.9% (up 6.2%)
Transports were little changed (up 7.2%)
S&P 400 Midcaps lost 0.9% (up 5.3%)
Small cap Russell 2000 fell 1.0% (up 6.0%).
Nasdaq100 added 0.7% (up 6.2%)
Semiconductors dipped 0.2% (up 10.4%)
Biotechs were about unchanged (up 4.7%).
While bullion gained $6, the HUI gold equities index declined 0.5% (up 12.7%).
FOREIGN STOCKS:
U.K.'s FTSE declined 0.9% (up 4.3% y-t-d).
Japan's Nikkei gained 1.7% (up 1.8% y-t-d).
France's CAC40 slipped 0.4% (up 8.1%)
German DAX declined 0.4% (up 8.0%).
Spain's IBEX 35 added 0.4% (up 8.4%).
Italy's FTSE MIB little changed (up 8.7%).
Brazil's Bovespa gained 1.0% (up 2.1%)
Mexico's Bolsa added 0.7% (up 11.3%).
South Korea's Kospi increased 0.4% (up 7.1%).
India's Sensex gained 0.6% (down 0.4%).
China's Shanghai Exchange jumped 2.2% (up 5.7%).
Turkey's Istanbul National 100 surged 10.1% (down 0.3%).
Russia's MICEX fell 1.5% (up 0.6%).
US BONDS
Three-month Treasury bill rates ended the week at 4.515%.
Two-year government yields declined six bps this week to 4.17% (down 26bps y-t-d).
Five-year T-note yields fell five bps to 3.56% (down 44bps).
Ten-year Treasury yields dipped two bps to 3.48% (down 40bps).
Long bond yields gained four bps to 3.66% (down 31bps).
Benchmark Fannie Mae MBS yields increased three bps to 4.88% (down 51bps).
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK:
Federal Reserve Credit declined $4.3bn last week to $8.467 TN. Fed Credit was down $434bn from the June 22nd peak. Over the past 175 weeks, Fed Credit expanded $4.741 TN, or 127%.
US MORTGAGES:
Freddie Mac 30-year fixed mortgage rates dropped 23 bps to a four-month low 5.95% (up 239bps y-o-y).
Fifteen-year rates sank 36 bps to 5.18% (up 239bps).
Five-year hybrid ARM rates declined eight bps to 5.41% (up 281bps).
Bankrate's survey of jumbo mortgage borrowing costs had 30-year fixed rates up nine bps to 6.37% (up 278bps).
CURRENCY:
For the week, the U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.2% to 102.01 (down 1.4% y-t-d).
The Chinese (onshore) renminbi declined 1.23% versus the dollar (up 1.68% y-t-d).
COMMODITIES:
Bloomberg Commodities Index increased 0.5% (down 0.6% y-t-d).
Spot Gold added 0.3% to $1,926 (up 5.6%).
Silver fell 1.4% to $23.93 (unchanged).
WTI crude rose $1.78 to $81.64 (up 1.7%).
Gasoline jumped 4.4% (up 8%)
Natural Gas dropped another 7.2% to $3.17 (down 29%).
Copper gained 0.8% (up 12%).
Wheat slipped 0.3% (down 6%)
Corn increased 0.2% (unchanged).
to $22,630 (up 36.6%).
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