Saturday, June 24, 2017

AAII Sentiment Neutral -- 29% cash recommended

Based on opinions of individual investors
from a www.aaii.com online survey.

The indicator is bearish (red) when individual investors are bullish. 

The indicator is bullish (green) when individual investors are bearish.
  ( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )







One  week  ending  June 22, 2017:
32.7%  bulls  (32.3% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)

28.9%  bears (29.5% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
= Neutral  (Neutral last week)     
53.1% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish (52.3% last week)

                            ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )





Four-Week  Average:
This is one of the seven page one EL stock market timing indicators

= Neutral  (Neutral last week)  
51.5% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullis(51.3% last week)

                              ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 



 
Recomended portfolio cash position:
= 29%  (28% last week)  
Range is 0% cash (most bullish)
to 100% cash (most bearish)




 
EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  
actual  cash  position: 


= approx. 65% cash  (65% last week)

 
I score the indicator to recommend
from 0% to 100% cash in a stock portfolio

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