Based on opinions
of individual investors
of individual investors
from a www.aaii.com
online survey.
The indicator is bearish (red)
when individual investors are bullish.
online survey.
The indicator is bearish (red)
when individual investors are bullish.
The indicator is bullish (green)
when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )
when individual investors are bearish.
( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )
One week
ending July 26, 2018:
ending July 26, 2018:
31.5% bulls (34.7% last week) (historical average is 38.5%)
26.9% bears (24.9% last week) (historical average is 30.5%)
Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
53.9% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish
( was 58.2% last week ) ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
( was 58.2% last week ) ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
Four-Week Average:
This is one of the seven
EL page one stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
This is one of the seven
EL page one stock market timing indicators.
It is the ONLY short-term timing indicator
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
53.3% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish
( was 50.1% last week ) ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
( was 50.1% last week ) ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )
Recomended portfolio
cash position:
= 33%
( was 25% cash last week )
EL Back-to-Basics Portfolio
actual cash position:
= 86% cash
( was 86% cash last week )
Note:
I score this short-term indicator
to recommend from
( was 86% cash last week )
Note:
I score this short-term indicator
to recommend from
0% cash (most bullish), to
100% cash (most bearish).
100% cash (most bearish).
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