Thursday, March 22, 2018

AAII Sentiment Neutral -- 42% cash recommended

Based on opinions 
of individual investors
from a www.aaii.com 
online survey.


The indicator is bearish (red) 

when individual investors are bullish. 

The indicator is bullish (green) 
when individual investors are bearish.

( I ignore all the “neutral” votes )





One  week  ending  March 22, 2018:
33.2%  bulls  (36.4% last week)  (historical average is 38.5%)

28.5%  bears (21.3% last week)  (historical average is 30.5%)
= Neutral 
(was Neutral last week)
53.8% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullish (63.1% last week)

          ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )





Four-Week  Average:
This is one of the seven page one EL stock market timing indicators
= Neutral
( was Neutral last week )
56.6% of AAII investors with an opinion are bullis(59.7% last week)

            ( 50% to 70% is Neutral )


 




 
Recomended portfolio cash position:
= 42%
( was 49% last week )




 
EL  Back-to-Basics  Portfolio  
actual  cash  position: 

= 78% cash  
( same as last week )




I score this indicator 

to recommend
from 0% cash, 
to 100% cash.

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